How did I do

Best picture

Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
Get Out
I, Tonya  Phantom Thread
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Big Sick (if 9)
Darkest Hour (if 10)

This category was hard. I didn't believe in I, Tonya in best picture but I didn't dare to leave it out. No love for The Big Sick but apparently they really loved Phantom Thread.

Best director

Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
Guillermo Del Toro - The Shape of Water
Jordan Peele - Get Out
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread

Best actor

Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day Lewis - Phantom Thread
James Franco - The Disaster Artist Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour


I should have followed my instinct... Anyway I would have probably chosen Tom Hanks instead of Denzel.

Best actress

Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post

Best supporting actor

Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

I was wrong about Christopher Plummer, he made it anyway.

Best supporting actress

Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
Hong Chau - Downsizing Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
Holly Hunter - The Big Sick Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird


Both of these two I would never have predicted correctly. Octavia Spencer was one of my choices but I chose Hong Chau in the end instead of her.


Original screenplay

The Big Sick
Get Out
I, Tonya Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water

Adapted screenplay

Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly's Game
Mudbound

Film Editing

Dunkirk
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049 I, Tonya
Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water

Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water

Production Design

Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Post Darkest Hour
The Shape of Water

Sound Mixing

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water

Sound Editing

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water

Costume Design

Beauty and the Beast
Murder on the Orient Express Darkest Hour
Phantom Thread
The Greates Showman Victoria & Abdul
The Shape of Water

Original Score

Darkest Hour Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Shape of Water

Original Song

Beauty and the Beast - Evermore Marshall - Stand Up for Something
Call Me By Your Name - Mystery of Love
Coco - Remember Me
The Greatest Showman - This is Me
Mudbound - Mighty River

Foreign Language Film

Germany
Israel
Lebanon
Russia
Sweden

Documentary Feature

City of Ghosts Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
Icarus
Jane Faces Places
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island

Animated Feature

Breadwinner
Coco
Despicable Me 3 The Boss Baby
Lego Batman Movie Ferdinand
Loving Vincent

Visual Effects

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk Kong: Skull Island
Guardians of Galaxy Vol 2
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War of Planet of the Apes

Live Action Short

The Eleven o'clock
Icebox Dekalb Elementary
The Silent Child
Watu Wote/All of Us
Witnesses My Nephew Emmett

Animated Short

Cradle Garden Party
Dear Basketball
Lou
Negative Space
In a Heartbeat Revolting Rhymes

Documentary Short

Edith+Eddie
Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Heroin(e)
Kayayo Knife Skills
Ten Meter Tower Traffic Stop

Make up and hair

Darkest Hour
I, Tonya Victoria & Abdul
Wonder

Pretty well. 94/122 overall with the short subjects (77, 049 %) and 85/107 (79,439 %) without them.

The big six 28/34 (82 %) and the big eight 37/44 (84 %). 

Oscar nominations 2017

Best Motion Picture of the Year
 
Call Me by Your Name Peter Spears, Luca Guadagnino, Emilie Georges and Marco Morabito, Producers
Darkest Hour Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce, Anthony McCarten and Douglas Urbanski, Producers
Dunkirk Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
Get Out Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Edward H. Hamm Jr. and Jordan Peele, Producers
Lady Bird Scott Rudin, Eli Bush and Evelyn O’Neill, Producers
Phantom Thread JoAnne Sellar, Paul Thomas Anderson, Megan Ellison and Daniel Lupi, Producers
The Post Amy Pascal, Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers
The Shape of Water Guillermo del Toro and J. Miles Dale, Producers
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin and Martin McDonagh, Producers

Achievement in Directing
 
Dunkirk Christopher Nolan
Get Out Jordan Peele
Lady Bird Greta Gerwig
Phantom Thread Paul Thomas Anderson
The Shape of Water Guillermo del Toro

Adapted Screenplay
 
Call Me by Your Name Screenplay by James Ivory
The Disaster Artist Screenplay by Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber
Logan Screenplay by Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green; Story by James Mangold
Molly’s Game Written for the screen by Aaron Sorkin
Mudbound Screenplay by Virgil Williams and Dee Rees

Original Screenplay
 
The Big Sick Written by Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani
Get Out Written by Jordan Peele
Lady Bird Written by Greta Gerwig
The Shape of Water Screenplay by Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor; Story by Guillermo del Toro
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Written by Martin McDonagh

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
 
Timothée Chalamet in Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis in Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya in Get Out
Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington in Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
 
Willem Dafoe in The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson in Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins in The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer in All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell in Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
 
Sally Hawkins in The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand in Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie in I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan in Lady Bird
Meryl Streep in The Post

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
 
Mary J. Blige in Mudbound
Allison Janney in I, Tonya
Lesley Manville in Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer in The Shape of Water

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
 
The Boss Baby Tom McGrath and Ramsey Naito
The Breadwinner Nora Twomey and Anthony Leo
Coco Lee Unkrich and Darla K. Anderson
Ferdinand Carlos Saldanha
Loving Vincent Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman and Ivan Mactaggart

Achievement in Cinematography
 
Blade Runner 2049 Roger A. Deakins
Darkest Hour Bruno Delbonnel
Dunkirk Hoyte van Hoytema
Mudbound Rachel Morrison
The Shape of Water Dan Laustsen

Achievement in Costume Design
 
Beauty and the Beast Jacqueline Durran
Darkest Hour Jacqueline Durran
Phantom Thread Mark Bridges
The Shape of Water Luis Sequeira
Victoria & Abdul Consolata Boyle

Best Documentary Feature
 
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail Steve James, Mark Mitten and Julie Goldman
Faces Places Agnès Varda, JR and Rosalie Varda
Icarus Bryan Fogel and Dan Cogan
Last Men in Aleppo Feras Fayyad, Kareem Abeed and Søren Steen Jespersen
Strong Island Yance Ford and Joslyn Barnes

Best Documentary Short Subject
 
Edith+Eddie Laura Checkoway and Thomas Lee Wright
Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405 Frank Stiefel
Heroin(e) Elaine McMillion Sheldon and Kerrin Sheldon
Knife Skills Thomas Lennon
Traffic Stop Kate Davis and David Heilbroner

Achievement in Film Editing
 
Baby Driver Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos
Dunkirk Lee Smith
I, Tonya Tatiana S. Riegel
The Shape of Water Sidney Wolinsky
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Jon Gregory

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
 
A Fantastic Woman Chile
The Insult Lebanon
Loveless Russia
On Body and Soul Hungary
The Square Sweden

Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
 
Darkest Hour Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski and Lucy Sibbick
Victoria & Abdul Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard
Wonder Arjen Tuiten

Achievement in Music (Original Score)
 
Dunkirk Hans Zimmer
Phantom Thread Jonny Greenwood
The Shape of Water Alexandre Desplat
Star Wars: The Last Jedi John Williams
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Carter Burwell

Achievement in Music (Original Song)
 
Mighty River from Mudbound
Music and Lyrics by Mary J. Blige, Raphael Saadiq and Taura Stinson
Mystery of Love from Call Me by Your Name
Music and Lyrics by Sufjan Stevens
Remember Me from Coco
Music and Lyrics by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
Stand Up for Something from Marshall
Music by Diane Warren; Lyrics by Lonnie R. Lynn and Diane Warren
This Is Me from The Greatest Showman
Music and Lyrics by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

Achievement in Production Design
 
Beauty and the Beast Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
Blade Runner 2049 Production Design: Dennis Gassner; Set Decoration: Alessandra Querzola
Darkest Hour Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
Dunkirk Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Gary Fettis
The Shape of Water Production Design: Paul Denham Austerberry; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau and Jeff Melvin

Best Animated Short Film
 
Dear Basketball Glen Keane and Kobe Bryant
Garden Party Victor Caire and Gabriel Grapperon
Lou Dave Mullins and Dana Murray
Negative Space Max Porter and Ru Kuwahata
Revolting Rhymes Jakob Schuh and Jan Lachauer

Best Live Action Short Film
 
DeKalb Elementary Reed Van Dyk
The Eleven O’Clock Derin Seale and Josh Lawson
My Nephew Emmett Kevin Wilson, Jr.
The Silent Child Chris Overton and Rachel Shenton
Watu Wote/All of Us Katja Benrath and Tobias Rosen

Achievement in Sound Editing
 
Baby Driver Julian Slater
Blade Runner 2049 Mark Mangini and Theo Green
Dunkirk Richard King and Alex Gibson
The Shape of Water Nathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira
Star Wars: The Last Jedi Matthew Wood and Ren Klyce

Achievement in Sound Mixing
 
Baby Driver Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin and Mary H. Ellis
Blade Runner 2049 Ron Bartlett, Doug Hemphill and Mac Ruth
Dunkirk Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker and Gary A. Rizzo
The Shape of Water Christian Cooke, Brad Zoern and Glen Gauthier
Star Wars: The Last Jedi David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Stuart Wilson

Achievement in Visual Effects
 
Blade Runner 2049 John Nelson, Gerd Nefzer, Paul Lambert and Richard R. Hoover
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner and Dan Sudick
Kong: Skull Island Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza and Mike Meinardus
Star Wars: The Last Jedi Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould
War for the Planet of the Apes Joe Letteri, Daniel Barrett, Dan Lemmon and Joel Whist

Predictions 2017

And here are my predictions for 2017:

Best picture

Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Big Sick (if 9)
Darkest Hour (if 10)

The last films were hard to choose. Often British films squeeze in with the Oscars and Darkest Hour might do that.

Best director

Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
Guillermo Del Toro - The Shape of Water
Jordan Peele - Get Out
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best actor

Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day Lewis - Phantom Thread
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

I thought Tom Hanks (or Denzel Washington) would get nominated instead of James Franco even before the scandal. I had to include James Franco; he probably got too many votes before the scandal broke out.

Best actress

Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post

Best supporting actor

Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Michael Stuhlbarg could get in, but this is my list. Christopher Plummer could be a good choice but as he replaced afterwards another actor, I don't see it happening yet. In a few years it might be that these things won't matter anymore.

Best supporting actress

Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
Hong Chau - Downsizing
Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird

I wonder how Mudbound will be received. With still many conservative views Mary J. Blige could be left out. Kristin Scott Thomas could get in, if Darkest Hour will be liked.

Original screenplay

The Big Sick
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water

Adapted screenplay

Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly's Game
Mudbound

Film Editing

Dunkirk
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water

Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water

Production Design

Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water

Sound Mixing

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water

Sound Editing

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water

Costume Design

Beauty and the Beast
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
The Greates Showman
The Shape of Water

Original Score

Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
Shape of Water

Original Song

Beauty and the Beast - Evermore
Call Me By Your Name - Mystery of Love
Coco - Remember Me
The Greatest Showman - This is Me
Mudbound - Mighty River

Foreign Language Film

Germany
Israel
Lebanon
Russia
Sweden

Documentary Feature

City of Ghosts
Icarus
Jane
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island

Animated Feature

Breadwinner
Coco
Despicable Me 3
Lego Batman Movie
Loving Vincent

Visual Effects

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Guardians of Galaxy Vol 2
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War of Planet of the Apes

Live Action Short

The Eleven o'clock
Icebox
The Silent Child
Watu Wote/All of Us
Witnesses

Animated Short

Cradle
Dear Basketball
Lou
Negative Space
In a Heartbeat

Documentary Short

Edith+Eddie
Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Heroin(e)
Kayayo
Ten Meter Tower

Make up and hair

Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Wonder

And here we go...