Predictions 2018

Predictions for 2018 are here.

Best picture

A Star is Born

BlacKkKlansman

The Favourite

Green Book

Roma

Vice

Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

(First Man) if 9

(If Beale Street Could Talk) if 10

I have my doubts on Black Panther and Bohemian Rhapsody but I can't leave them out. Maybe First Reformed could get in, but we'll see.

Actor

Christian Bale - Vice

Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born

Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody

Viggo Mortensen - Green Book

Ethan Hawke - First Reformed

Actress

Emily Blunt - Mary Poppins Returns

Glenn Close - The Wife

Olivia Colman - The Favourite

Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born

Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?

I have a feeling that Yalitza Aparicio for Roma could get nominated but I don't know who to drop out.

Supporting actor

Mahershala Ali - Green Book

Timothee Chalamet - Beautiful Boy

Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman

Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born

Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Supporting actress

Amy Adams - Vice

Claire Foy - First Man

Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk

Emma Stone - The Favourite

Rachel Weisz - The Favourite

Director

Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born

Alfonso Cuarón - Roma

Peter Farrelly - Green Book

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman

Adam McKay - Vice

Original Screenplay

Eighth Grade

The Favourite

Green Book

Roma

Vice

Adapted Screenplay

BlacKkKlansman

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

If Beale Street Could Talk

Leave No Trace

A Star is Born

Foreign Language Film

Germany

Japan

Lebanon

Mexico

Poland

Documentary Feature

Won't You Be My Neighbor?

RGB

Free Solo

Minding the Gap

Three Identical Strangers

Cinematography

Roma

A Star is Born

The Favourite

First Man

Cold War

Film Editing

A Star is Born

The Favourite

First Man

Roma

Vice

Makeup and Hairstyling

Black Panther

Suspiria

Vice

Costume Design

Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary Queen of Scots

Production Design

Black Panther

The Favourite

First Man

Mary Poppins Returns

Roma

Original Score

First Man

If Beale Street Could Talk

Isle of Dogs

Black Panther

Mary Poppins Returns

Original Song

A Star is Born - The Shallow

Black Panther - All the Stars

Dumplin - Girl in the Movies

Mary Poppins Returns - The Place Where Lost Things Go

RGB - I'll Fight

Sound Mixing

Bohemian Rhapsody

First Man

A Quiet Place

Black Panther

A Star is Born

Sound Editing

First Man

Mission: Impossible - Fallout

A Quiet Place

A Star is Born

Black Panther

Animated Film

Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Mirai

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Visual Effects

Avengers: Infinity War

First Man

Ready Player One

Black Panther

Welcome to Marwen

Documentary Short Subject

End Game

My Dead Dad's Porno Tapes

Period. End of Sentence.

Women of the Gulag

Zion

Documentary Short Live Action

Fauve

Icare

Marguerite

May Day

Skin

Short Film Animated

Age of Sail

Bao

Bilby

Lost & Found

Weekends

Overall I think there's too much Black Panther and Bohemian Rhapsody but it's hard to drop them out from most of the categories. They don't seem to be Academy movies but maybe Academy has changed (it never does). Anyway the Oscars are in trouble and they need more audience. This means more spectator friendly actions but the voting still won't probably change for a long time. 

But this is the list for now.