11 January 2013

How did I do with the predictions

Here they are and it was hard to get categories correct:

Best Picture


Argo
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Life of Pi
Les Miserables
Django Unchained
Zero Dark Thirty
Beasts of the Southern Wild
(Amour)
(The Master)
I think there will be probably 8 nominees, if nine count in Amour, if ten count in The Master.
I guessed there will be 8 nominees and the all were correct. If nine, it was the correct Amour.
Director
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Ben Affleck Argo Michael Haneke, Amour
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
I think it will be as the DGA said.
Well, these were the surprises, especially the first two.
Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Denzel Washington, Flight
John Hawkes, The Sessions Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
I'm not convinced with Hugh Jackman, therefore Joaquin Phoenix.
Apparently The Sessions faded. I could have Hugh Jackman correct but then I would have missed Joaquin Phoenix.
Actress
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock Naomi Watts, The Impossible
This category is the hardest acting category this year. I chose Emmanuelle Riva and Helen Mirren. There could be Naomi Watts or Quvenzhané Wallis.
Yes, they chose Naomi and Quvenzhané.
Supporting Actor
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Alan Arkin, Argo
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
I'm sticking with Leo but of course it could be Christoph Waltz. Also Javier Bardem could be nominated as there is an uplift with the Bond movies.
Christoph Waltz it was, sadly for Leo (once again). But I'm so happy that Bobby and Tommy Lee Jones are back.
Supporting Actress
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Sally Field, Lincoln
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Amy Adams, The Master
Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Nicole Kidman can be dropped but all the rest should be in. I think Nicole is the best choice for the last spot, but maybe Maggie Smith?
I would never have guessed this correct who would replace Nicole.
Original Screenplay
Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
Michael Haneke, Amour
John Gatins, Flight
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master Michael Haneke, Amour
Adapted Screenplay
Tony Kushner, Lincoln
Chris Terrio, Argo
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
David Magee, Life of Pi
Benh Zeitlin, Lucy Alibar, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Editing
Argo
Zero Dark Thirty
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Skyfall Silver Linings Playbook
Cinematography
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty Anna Karenina
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Les Miserables Django Unchained
Costume Design
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Lincoln
The Hobbit Mirror Mirror
Snow white and the huntsman
Makeup and hair
The Hobbit
Les Miserables
Lincoln Hitchcock
Original Score
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Anna Karenina
Argo
Skyfall
Production Design
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Anna Karenina
Life of Pi
The Hobbit
Animated Feature
Frankenweenie
Brave
ParaNorman
Wreck-it-Ralph
Rise of the Guardians The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Foreign Language Film
Amour
The Intouchables No
Sister War Witch
A Royal Affair
Kon-Tiki
Documentary Feature
The Gatekeepers
The Imposter 5 Broken Cameras
Searching for Sugarman
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Sound Mixing
Life of Pi
Les Miserables
Skyfall
Django Unchained Lincoln
The Hobbit Argo
Sound Editing
Skyfall
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
The Avengers Argo
Brave Django Unchained
Visual Effects
The Hobbit
Life of Pi
The Avengers
Prometheus
The Dark Knight Rises Snow White and the Huntsman
Original Song
Skyfall
Touch the sky (Brave) Before My Time (Chasing Ice)
Strange Love (Frankenweenie) Everybody Needs A Best Friend (Ted)
100 Black Coffins (Django) Pi's Lullaby (Life of Pi)
Suddenly (Les Mis)
And then No Guts, No Glory:



Quvenzhané Wallis - best actress

Quentin Tarantino - best director

Richard Gere - best actor 
First it seemed that it will be a disaster but I got 81/107 (75,7 %) which actually isn't that bad considering that the date is earlier than usual. Therefore this is hard to compare with the previous and the date stays like this in the coming years this will set the new standard. But considering the circumstances this is not that bad result. Not great either but I'm not disappointed. 

Actually I checked my predictions from previous years and it seems this was one of the best years (short films lef out):

2012 - 81/107 (75,7 %)
2011 - 62/102 (66,67 %)
2010 - 82/105 (78,1 %)
2009 - 78/106 (73,58 %)
2008 - 73/97 (75,26 %)
2007 - 72/99 (72,7 %)
2006 - 65/99 (65,7 %)
2005 - 80/109 (73,39 %)

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