16 January 2014

How did I do with the predictions

Well, this is interesting. This morning I had less than an hour time to make my list. I had 9 categories in pretty shape and the others - well, non-existing. I am very surprised that this year went pretty ok after all.

About the nominations in general, it's really great that they differ from the consensus and there might be even surprises. Of course I would have loved to see Emma Thompson, Robert Redford and Tom Hanks nominated, but maybe next year!

Actor in a Leading Role
  • Christian Bale in “American Hustle”(Tom Hanks - Captain Phillips)
  • Bruce Dern in “Nebraska”
  • Leonardo DiCaprio in “The Wolf of Wall Street” (Robert Redford - All is Lost)
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor in “12 Years a Slave”
  • Matthew McConaughey in “Dallas Buyers Club”

    Oh, this is so great to see Leo getting nominated. I didn't think this could happen.  
Actor in a Supporting Role
  • Barkhad Abdi in “Captain Phillips”
  • Bradley Cooper in “American Hustle”
  • Michael Fassbender in “12 Years a Slave”
  • Jonah Hill in “The Wolf of Wall Street”(Daniel Brühl - Rush)
  • Jared Leto in “Dallas Buyers Club”

    Jonah Hill was on everyone's  nominations list last autumn but he fell out as there was no buzz. Apparently there is much love towards The Wolf of Wall Street than anyone expected. Way to go, Marty!
Actress in a Leading Role
  • Amy Adams in “American Hustle” (Emma Thompson - Saving Mr Banks)
  • Cate Blanchett in “Blue Jasmine”
  • Sandra Bullock in “Gravity”
  • Judi Dench in “Philomena”
  • Meryl Streep in “August: Osage County”

    This went exactly as I expected: Amy Adams sneaked as she always does. This time it was Emma Thompson who was dropped out; I knew it would not be Meryl! This isn't exactly no guts, no glory -situation as I could not add Amy just because I just didn't know who to drop from list (except that it would be Meryl as many seem to expect - and she wasn't)!
Actress in a Supporting Role
  • Sally Hawkins in “Blue Jasmine”(Oprah Winfrey - Lee Daniels' The Butler)
  • Jennifer Lawrence in “American Hustle”
  • Lupita Nyong’o in “12 Years a Slave”
  • Julia Roberts in “August: Osage County”
  • June Squibb in “Nebraska”

    I didn't see this coming but apparently The Butler had no love at all. Often it happens that very strong female lead brings along a supporting actress nomination.
Animated Feature Film
  • “The Croods” Chris Sanders, Kirk DeMicco and Kristine Belson
  • “Despicable Me 2” Chris Renaud, Pierre Coffin and Chris Meledandri
  • “Ernest & Celestine” Benjamin Renner and Didier Brunner (Monsters University)
  • “Frozen” Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee and Peter Del Vecho
  • “The Wind Rises” Hayao Miyazaki and Toshio Suzuki
Cinematography
  • “The Grandmaster” Philippe Le Sourd (12 Years a Slave)
  • “Gravity” Emmanuel Lubezki
  • “Inside Llewyn Davis” Bruno Delbonnel
  • “Nebraska” Phedon Papamichael
  • “Prisoners” Roger A. Deakins
Costume Design
  • “American Hustle” Michael Wilkinson
  • “The Grandmaster” William Chang Suk Ping (Saving Mr Banks)
  • “The Great Gatsby” Catherine Martin
  • “The Invisible Woman” Michael O’Connor (The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug)
  • “12 Years a Slave” Patricia Norris 
Directing
  • “American Hustle” David O. Russell
  • “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
  • “Nebraska” Alexander Payne (Paul Greengrass - Captain Phillips)
  • “12 Years a Slave” Steve McQueen
  • “The Wolf of Wall Street” Martin Scorsese

    Well, it was good to trust the DGA for Marty but I didn't see Paul Greengrass dropping out.
Documentary Feature
  • “The Act of Killing”Joshua Oppenheimer and Signe Byrge Sørensen
  • “Cutie and the Boxer” Zachary Heinzerling and Lydia Dean Pilcher (Stories We Tell)
  • “Dirty Wars” Richard Rowley and Jeremy Scahill (Blackfish)
  • “The Square” Jehane Noujaim and Karim Amer
  • “20 Feet from Stardom” Nominees to be determined
Documentary Short Subject
  • “CaveDigger” Jeffrey Karoff
  • “Facing Fear” Jason Cohen
  • “Karama Has No Walls” Sara Ishaq
  • “The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life” Malcolm Clarke and Nicholas Reed
  • “Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall” Edgar Barens

    No predictions in this category.
Film Editing
  • “American Hustle” Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten
  • “Captain Phillips” Christopher Rouse
  • “Dallas Buyers Club” John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa (The Wolf of Wall Street)
  • “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger
  • “12 Years a Slave” Joe Walker
Foreign Language Film
  • “The Broken Circle Breakdown” Belgium
  • “The Great Beauty” Italy
  • “The Hunt” Denmark
  • “The Missing Picture” Cambodia (Hungary)
  • “Omar” Palestine
Makeup and Hairstyling
  • “Dallas Buyers Club” Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews (American Hustle)
  • “Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa” Stephen Prouty (The Great Gatsby)
  • “The Lone Ranger” Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny (The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug)

    This is new, nothing correct. Usually there is atleast one film that is obvious for this category but this time. Zero.
Music (Original Score)
  • “The Book Thief” John Williams
  • “Gravity” Steven Price
  • “Her” William Butler and Owen Pallett (Captain Phillips)
  • “Philomena” Alexandre Desplat (12 Years a Slave)
  • “Saving Mr. Banks” Thomas Newman
Music (Original Song)
  • “Alone Yet Not Alone” from “Alone Yet Not Alone”
    Music by Bruce Broughton; Lyric by Dennis Spiegel (The Great Gatsby)
  • “Happy” from “Despicable Me 2”
    Music and Lyric by Pharrell Williams (12 Years a Slave)
  • “Let It Go” from “Frozen”
    Music and Lyric by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
  • “The Moon Song” from “Her”
    Music by Karen O; Lyric by Karen O and Spike Jonze
  • “Ordinary Love” from “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”
    Music by Paul Hewson, Dave Evans, Adam Clayton and Larry Mullen; Lyric by Paul Hewson
Best Picture
  • “American Hustle” Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
  • “Captain Phillips” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers
  • “Dallas Buyers Club” Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers
  • “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers
  • “Her” Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers
  • “Nebraska” Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers
  • “Philomena” Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers
  • “12 Years a Slave” Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers
  • “The Wolf of Wall Street” Nominees to be determined

    This is so funny! This year this category seemed to be completely open but I got everything correct. My prediction was that there would be 9 nominees and so there were. And this is the only category that I got this year completely correct. 
Production Design
  • “American Hustle” Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Heather Loeffler
  • “Gravity” Production Design: Andy Nicholson; Set Decoration: Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard
  • “The Great Gatsby” Production Design: Catherine Martin; Set Decoration: Beverley Dunn
  • “Her” Production Design: K.K. Barrett; Set Decoration: Gene Serdena (The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug)
  • “12 Years a Slave” Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Alice Baker
Short Film (Animated)
  • “Feral” Daniel Sousa and Dan Golden
  • “Get a Horse!” Lauren MacMullan and Dorothy McKim
  • “Mr. Hublot” Laurent Witz and Alexandre Espigares
  • “Possessions” Shuhei Morita
  • “Room on the Broom” Max Lang and Jan Lachauer

    No predictions in this category.
Short Film (Live Action)
  • “Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me)” Esteban Crespo
  • “Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just before Losing Everything)” Xavier Legrand and Alexandre Gavras
  • “Helium” Anders Walter and Kim Magnusson
  • “Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)” Selma Vilhunen and Kirsikka Saari
  • “The Voorman Problem” Mark Gill and Baldwin Li

    No predictions in this category. But yay for Finland!
Sound Editing
  • “All Is Lost” Steve Boeddeker and Richard Hymns
  • “Captain Phillips” Oliver Tarney
  • “Gravity” Glenn Freemantle
  • “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” Brent Burge (Iron Man 3)
  • “Lone Survivor” Wylie Stateman
Sound Mixing
  • “Captain Phillips” Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith and Chris Munro
  • “Gravity” Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead and Chris Munro
  • “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick and Tony Johnson (12 Years a Slave)
  • “Inside Llewyn Davis” Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland
  • “Lone Survivor” Andy Koyama, Beau Borders and David Brownlow
Visual Effects
  • “Gravity” Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk and Neil Corbould
  • “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and Eric Reynolds
  • “Iron Man 3” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash and Dan Sudick
  • “The Lone Ranger” Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams and John Frazier (Elysium)
  • “Star Trek Into Darkness” Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann and Burt Dalton (Pacific Rim)
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
  • “Before Midnight” Written by Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke
  • “Captain Phillips” Screenplay by Billy Ray
  • “Philomena” Screenplay by Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope
  • “12 Years a Slave” Screenplay by John Ridley
  • “The Wolf of Wall Street” Screenplay by Terence Winter (August: Osage County)
Writing (Original Screenplay)
  • “American Hustle” Written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell
  • “Blue Jasmine” Written by Woody Allen
  • “Dallas Buyers Club” Written by Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack (Inside Llewyn Davis)
  • “Her” Written by Spike Jonze
  • “Nebraska” Written by Bob Nelson

    And my score was 79/107 (73,8 % correct).

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